Germany put themselves in the driving seat with a 2-1 comeback in Italy, and they are now big favorites to go through. We are down to the final eight, and this week, only four teams will make it to the semifinals. Our preview focuses on the Germany vs Italy quarterfinal predictions and key info in this match.
Italy head to the Signal Iduna Park on Sunday as they look to overturn the one-goal deficit from the first leg. The Germans have a strong track record at home, but there’s all to play for in the second leg.
| ℹ️ Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2024-25, Quarterfinal (2nd Leg) |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, Germany |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23 March 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:45 GMT on Sunday |
Julian Nagelsmann’s team are favorites to win on Germany vs Italy odds with the football sportsbooks 2025 offering 1.73 (8/11) on a home win. The odds for a draw are worth 4.00 (3/1), while Italy is priced at 5.00 (4/1) to beat the Germans.
Germany has a very good record against the Italians, winning the last two matches against the Azzurri. Italy’s last win against Die Mannschaft came in 2012 and they have failed to beat Germany in the last seven meetings.
Since their Confederations Cup win in 2017, the German national team has yet to lay their hands on an international trophy. They have a good chance with many youngsters breaking into the team and are one of the best teams in the Nations League. Germany remains unbeaten in this competition, and their last game against Italy was very impressive as they rallied from a goal down to beat Italy.
First-choice goalkeeper Marc Andre Ter Stegen is not with the national team after an injury while on club duties with Barcelona. Florian Wirtz is another big absentee for the Germans but Die Manschaft are spoiled with choices.
Italy went unbeaten in their first five Nations League matches, winning four of those games, and they looked like a resurgent giant. Luciano Spalletti’s team haven’t been able to keep up, and they have lost their last two games with defeats to France and Germany. The Italians might feel hard done by the result last week, but they still have a good shot at reaching the quarterfinals on Italy betting sites.
Riccardo Calafiori and Mateo Retegui are both sidelined for the game against Germany and will return to their national teams. PSG’s Gianluigi Donnarumma will captain the team again as they chase a comeback.
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Germany finished the Nations League group stage with 18 goals in six games as they averaged three goals per match. Italy’s last trip to Germany wasn’t a memorable one for the Azzurri as they conceded five goals in a defeat. Luciano Spalletti’s defense has kept just one clean sheet in their last ten games, but they have been worse in the last two matches. A bet on the hosts to score at least two goals has good value on Germany vs Italy betting predictions.
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The Germans are one of the few teams left without a defeat in the Nations League Playoffs, and they can go all the way in this competition. Two out of Italy’s last three wins came against Israel, and the Azzurri aren’t champions material. Die Manschaft got the win away from home, and they can extend their lead in this fixture. A home win is the most likely outcome here, and it’s a safe option on Germany vs Italy betting tips.
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Germany’s comeback would’ve been impossible without Joshua Kimmich’s monstrous performance in the first leg. The Bayern fullback grabbed two assists in that game and he has also been influential in their run to the quarterfinals. Joshua Kimmich ended Group A as one of the top assist providers, and he also scored in the group stage. He’s a good bet for a goal contribution on the best bookies in Germany.
The UEFA Nations League is coming to an end, and our Germany vs Italy betting picks are ready. You can make extra cash from this match by using our expert betting tips and predictions.
Germany's solid form and a strong record against Italy make them the favorites to win in this crucial Nations League quarterfinal. With Germany's attacking power and Italy's defensive struggles, a Germany win seems likely, especially with players like Joshua Kimmich playing a pivotal role. Betting on Germany to score over 1.5 goals looks like a good choice for this match, as discussed on Jeetwin Sports.