Benfica won the Portuguese League Cup over Sporting in January, so what should we expect from the Lisbon Derby this time?
| ℹ️ Tournament: | Taça de Portugal 2024/25, Final |
| ⚽️ Venue: | Estadio Nacional do Jamor, Oeiras, Portugal |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25 May 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 4:15 p.m. GMT on Sunday |
According to the best mobile betting apps for football, Benfica are the slight favorites at 2.25 (5/4). A draw is offered at 3.45 (49/20), while Sporting are the underdogs at 3.10 (21/10) to defeat the Eagles in the latest 2024–25 Taca de Portugal odds.
The Lisbon Derby has been pretty balanced in the last few years, as in the last 10 head-to-head games, Sporting won three, drew five, and Benfica won two. The Lions won their latest Taça de Portugal encounter in the 2024 semifinals.
Benfica finished the 24/25 Liga Portugal competition in second place with 80 points. The Eagles had an interesting UCL campaign, finishing 16th in the league phase and knocking out Monaco before losing to Barca in the round of 16. Benfica won the Portuguese League Cup for the first time since 2016.
Benfica are coming off a 1-1 away draw with Braga in the Primeira Liga. Rodrigo Zalazar opened the scoring for the home team, while Vangelis Pavlidis equalized for the Eagles in the second half. That was the second draw in a row for the team, which saw them lose the title on the final day to Sporting. Benfica beat Pavidem, Estrela, Farense, Braga, and finally Tirsense to reach the Portuguese Cup final.
Benfica don’t have any new injuries, but they are still missing Zeki Amdouni, Renato Sanches, Alexander Bah, and Manu for this final game.
Sporting have successfully defended their Primeira Liga title this season after a long fight with Benfica. They have won the league in back-to-back years for the first time in seven decades. Sporting barely qualified for the UCL playoffs after finishing 23rd in the league phase, and they lost to Dortmund in the first knockout round.
The Lions are coming off a solid 2-0 home win over Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga. Pedro Goncalves and Viktor Gyokeres scored to clinch the league title for the team. This year has been a huge success for manager Rui Borges, who joined the team in late December after Ruben Amorim left midseason. Sporting beat Portimonense, Amarante, Santa Clara, Gil Vicente, and finally Rio Ave on their route to the Taça de Portugal final.
Sporting are still missing Joao Simoes, Nuno Santos, and Daniel Braganca due to long-term injuries, while Morten Hjulmand is back from suspension.
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Sporting are on a 17-game unbeaten streak right now, and they have done well against Benfica this season, beating them at home and only losing on penalties in the Portuguese League Cup. The Lions had the best offense and defense in the league this season, scoring 88 goals and conceding only 27 in 34 games.
The sportsbooks in Portugal have some enticing odds on Sporting to win the title, as they are having one of their best seasons in years, while Benfica aren’t at their best after drawing two games with poor performances.
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Both teams are in great offensive form right now, as Benfica have gone over the total in 12 of their last 14 games, averaging 3.85 goals per game. Sporting have also gone over the total in four of their last six games, averaging 3.1 goals per game, so this matchup has big potential to be a high-scoring affair, especially since six of the last nine head-to-head matches between them had three or more goals.
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Viktor Gyokeres finished the season as the Primeira Liga top scorer with 39 goals, 20 more than the second-place player. This has been a phenomenal season for the Swedish striker, who had one goal and two assists against Benfica in the three games. Gyokeres has scored 19 goals and had four assists since March only, so if Sporting score in this game, then there’s a big chance that it will be him.
Sporting are in much better shape and spirits for this game, so we expect them to win the title. Make sure you use our Benfica vs Sporting Portuguese Cup 2025 predictions and bet on them at the legal football bookies in Portugal to have more fun watching the game.
