Traditional Focus on Qualification: 2025 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix Betting Predictions & Winning Odds (May 25)

2025 Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix Predictions & Betting Odds

Round eight of the 2025 Formula 1 season takes us to Monte Carlo for the Monaco Grand Prix. Fresh off a second win at Imola, Max Verstappen has closed the title gap to 22 points behind leader Oscar Piastri. Can the reigning champion make it two consecutive victories in Monaco? Our F1 Monaco Grand Prix predictions guide previews the action.

Key Info About The Formula One 2025 Monaco GP

This season’s second race of the F1 European triple-header will take place at the Circuit de Monaco. Practice and qualifying are slated for May 23–24. The main event will light up Monte Carlo on Sunday, May 25, 2025.

ℹ️ Tournament: 2025 Formula One World Championships, F1 Monaco Grand Prix 2025
🛣 Venue: Circuit de Monaco, Monte Carlo, Monaco, France
🗓️ Dates: Friday 23rd – 24th May (Practice & Qualifying) – Sunday, 25th May (Main Race)
⏰ Time: 13:00 GMT on Sunday

Circuit de Monaco Analysis

Circuit de Monaco is built in the French Riviera near Italy and hosts Formula 1’s shortest, slowest lap. Cars run maximum downforce with brakes under immense pressure throughout the demanding street circuit. Overtaking is nearly impossible due to just one DRS zone across the entire track. Qualifying becomes vital, as starting position often determines the final race outcome.

Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix’s Previous Winners

Charles Leclerc is the reigning champion and one of three drivers to win the last four editions of the Monaco GP.

  • 2024: Charles Leclerc
  • 2023: Max Verstappen
  • 2022: Sergio Perez
  • 2021: Max Verstappen
  • 2020: Cancelled

Formula 1 Monaco GP 2025 Odds & Favourites

Before highlighting our Formula 1 Monaco GP predictions 2025, we review the chances of the top drivers at this event. Here is how the best F1 betting websites show the outright winner odds for the top five contenders.

Oscar Piastri
Best odds:
2.87 (13/7)
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Lando Norris
Best odds:
3.40 (12/5)
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Max Verstappen
Best odds:
4.33 (10/3)
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George Russell
Best odds:
7.00 (6/1)
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Charles Leclerc
Best odds:
17.00 (16/1)
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Oscar Piastri @ 2.87 (13/7)

Championship leader, Oscar Piastri, still gets the best 2025 Monaco GP F1 betting odds despite not winning at Imola. After six rounds, Oscar Piastri leads the drivers’ championship with 131 points. He holds a 16-point advantage over Norris and is 32 points ahead of Verstappen. The Australian claimed F1 race wins this season in Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Miami, and China. His only race outside the podium was the Australian Grand Prix in March. With competition heating up, Piastri will aim to extend his lead with victory in France.

Lando Norris @ 3.40 (12/5)

Lando Norris climbed from fourth to second at Imola but couldn’t catch Verstappen. It marked his fourth top-two finish in seven races this season. His only off-podium result came at the Saudi Arabia GP earlier in the campaign. Despite just one win in Melbourne, Norris remains a consistent front-runner in 2025. With a strong race pace and a fast MCL39, he will be eyeing another win this weekend.

Max Verstappen @ 4.33 (10/3)

Max Verstappen boosted his title defence with a bold win at the Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix. He overtook championship leader Piastri early, ending the Australian’s streak of three straight wins. That was Verstappen’s second win this season and his first since April’s Japanese Grand Prix. Denying Piastri a fourth consecutive victory, he reminded everyone of his championship pedigree. With two wins in his last four Monaco races, Verstappen now eyes another triumph at Circuit de Monaco. Betting sites for auto competitions offer Formula 1 Monaco GP 2025 odds of 4.33 (10/3) for the Flying Dutchman to secure his third race win this weekend.

George Russell @ 7.00 (6/1)

George Russell sits fourth, 47 points behind leader Oscar Piastri. A seventh-place finish at Imola marked his worst outing of the season so far. Mercedes’ lack of pace and strategy woes left the Brit visibly frustrated post-race. He has earned four podiums in seven rounds and will look to bounce back strong in Monaco. Mercedes must respond quickly if it’s to remain in contention this weekend.

Charles Leclerc @ 17.00 (16/1)

Charles Leclerc trails championship leader Oscar Piastri by 85 points after seven rounds. His only podium this season was a third-place finish at the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix. He finished sixth at Imola, frustrated by Ferrari’s poor strategy and early qualifying exit. Leclerc won Monaco last year and will hope home support can push him to his first 2025 race victory.

F1 Monaco GP Predictions 2025

Here are our 2025 Formula 1 Monaco GP betting tips:

Max Verstappen To Win @ 4.33 (10/3)

Risky Bet
Max Verstappen To Win
Best odds:
4.33 (10/3)
Agree with prediction?
(2 voted)

2 (100%)

0

Verstappen’s Imola win highlighted his precision under pressure and ability to control races. He passed Piastri at Turn 1 with a daring move and led all 63 laps. This dominant display, his second win of 2025, confidently reignites his title charge. Red Bull’s recent upgrades improved the RB21’s balance and tire management in high-speed corners. With two past Monaco wins and significant momentum, Verstappen is poised for another victory.

Podium Finish: Charles Leclerc @ 2.37 (4/3)

Event Prediction
Podium Finish: Charles Leclerc
Best odds:
2.37 (4/3)
Agree with prediction?
(2 voted)

1 (50%)

(50%) 1

At Imola, Leclerc qualified P11 after a poor Q2 but recovered well to finish sixth. His climb through the field showed skill on circuits where overtaking remains extremely difficult. Ferrari’s limited upgrades helped, but strategy missteps cost him a chance at a podium. Bigger updates are set for Monaco, where Leclerc hopes to replicate last year’s stunning win. He is poised for his second podium of the 2025 season with home support and improved pace.

Winning Margin: Less than 5 seconds @ 1.66 (2/3)

Event Prediction
Winning Margin: Less than 5 seconds
Best odds:
1.66 (2/3)
Agree with prediction?
(2 voted)

2 (100%)

0

Monaco’s 3.337-km circuit demands 78 laps, compressing gaps and limiting breakaway opportunities. Traffic and safety cars often keep leaders within striking distance, ensuring thrillingly close finishes. Past examples include Perez’s 1.154-second win in 2022 and Hamilton’s 2.602-second gap in 2019. Fierce competition among drivers is evident this season as four of the seven grand prixes have been won in less than five seconds. Most online sportsbooks in Monaco price this option at odds of 1.66 (2/3).

Our Formula 1 Monaco GP 2025 Betting Tips

Our 2025 Formula 1 Monaco betting picks are:

Max Verstappen To Win
Best odds:
4.33 (10/3)
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Podium Finish: Charles Leclerc
Best odds:
2.37 (4/3)
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Max Verstappen’s recent momentum in the upgraded RB21 makes him a favorite to win the Monaco GP. Leverage our tips to bet on F1 Monaco Grand Prix 2025 and win extra cash.

Jimmy E
Author
Writer & Tipster

Jimmy is our on-duty tipster and writer. His favorite sports are cricket, tennis, and basketball. If you’re looking for the best betting tips in the business, Jimmy’s your guy. His tips and events previews are among the most read at BetZillion.

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