Time to Prove: South Africa vs Australia Betting Predictions & Winning Tips (2025 ICC World Test Championship Final, June 11-15

The 2023-2025 World Test Championship cycle draws to a close this week, with South Africa taking on Australia in the WTC Final at Lord’s this Wednesday. It’s a match surrounded by controversy – given South Africa’s suspicious path to the final – but still represents an opportunity for them to get their hands on an ICC trophy for the first time since the 1990s. Read on for our RSA vs AUS final predictions.
RSA vs AUS (2025 World Test Final): Match Details
The context for this clash is always somewhat bizarre: there has been little Test cricket played over the past four months, and these teams were determined earlier in the year. Who will prevail in the third edition of the WTC? Read on as we look at the South Africa vs Australia odds and give our tips.
ℹ️ Tournament: | 2023–2025 ICC World Test Championship, Final |
⚽️ Venue: | Lord’s, London, United Kingdom |
🗓️ Date: | 11-15 June 2025 |
South Africa vs Australia Odds
Before we get into our Test cricket RSA vs AUS betting tips, let’s check out what cricket websites with betting options have to say about this clash:
Despite South Africa coming into this match as top seed, it’s Australia who are favorites across mainstream World Test Championship Final 2025 betting picks.
South Africa vs Australia: H2H in Test Cricket
These two side have played two series in the past seven years. The most recent was dominated by Australia, while the previous was the inverse. However, both of these were a while ago, and don’t lend much to our RSA vs AUS final predictions.
- January 2023 – Draw
- December 2022 – Australia won by an innings and 182 runs
- December 2022 – Australia won by six wickets
- March 2018 – South Africa won by 492 runs
- March 2018 – South Africa won by 322 runs
World Test Championship Final 2025 Betting Preview
To inform our Test cricket RSA vs AUS betting tips, here’s a quick rundown of how each side is tracking heading into this match.
South Africa Recent Test Form
The Proteas are on an absolute tear ahead of the WTC Final, having won seven Tests on the trot. However – and this is where the controversy stems from – they’ve managed to avoid the majority of tough sides this WTC cycle, gaining all their points from beating up on weaker teams. In fact, last time they played a nation of any substance, they lost 2-0 to New Zealand in 2023.
- January 2025 – South Africa beat Pakistan by 10 wickets
- December 2024 – South Africa beat Pakistan by two wickets
- December 2024 – South Africa beat Sri Lanka by 109 runs
- November 2024 – South Africa beat Sri Lanka by 233 runs
- October 2024 – South Africa beat Bangladesh by an innings and 273 runs
Australia’s Recent Test Form
Australia have been more of the real deal this WTC. They come into the final having won four in a row, three of which were against Sri Lanka most recently. However, the big indication of their prowess is the 3-1 series win they picked up over India late last year.
- February 2025 – Australia beat Sri Lanka by nine wickets
- February 2025 – Australia beat Sri Lanka by an innings and 242 runs
- January 2025 – Australia beat Sri Lanka by six wickets
- December 2024 – Australia beat India by 184 runs
- December 2024 – Australia drew with India
RSA vs AUS 2025 Cricket Betting Predictions
We’ve laid out all the stats you need to know, now it’s time to get into our World Test Championship 2025 Final betting predictions. Here are the tips we recommend for those betting in Europe or before visiting the Lord’s:
South Africa to Win @ 3.75 (11/4)
1 (100%)
0
Given the nature of this fixture – essentially a one-off match, coming at a time when most nations have been playing white ball cricket – there’s very little ‘form’ to go off for either side. As a result, this match feels like it will be won by whichever side shows up wanting it more this week.
We expect that side to be South Africa, for two reasons. Firstly, they’ve copped a lot of heat this week about not deserving to be in the final. The proud Proteas will want to prove their critics wrong. Secondly, RSA have not won an ICC trophy since 1998, and this is by far their best opportunity to rectify that.
These big motivators, plus the fact that they are riding a healthy win streak, albeit against sub-par opposition, makes us favor South Africa. Oh, and their odds are a good two points longer than Australia’s, meaning a far juicer payout.
Steve Smith 100+ Match Runs @ 2.40 (7/5)
0
(100%) 1
Aussie batsman Steve Smith has a brilliant record at Lord’s, and the veteran is known for stepping up in big moments. Overall, his average at this ground is 58.33 – should he hit that, he’ll surpass the 100-run mark in this Test. Chances are, he’ll exceed it, given his propensity of rising to the occasion. Expect him to bag a tonne in one of the two innings – as he did in 2023, or in the Ashes a decade a go.
Kagiso Rabada Top First Innings Bowler @ 6.00 (5/1)
1 (100%)
0
While there’s very little form to go on for this clash, South Africa did play a warm up match against Zimbabwe recently and Kagiso Rabada looked on song. The pacer holds the number two spot in the Test bowler rankings at the moment. If his side are to have any hope of prevailing in the WTC Final, he’ll have to do a lot of the heavy lifting. With a return of 6.00 (5/1) for him to be the top first innings bowler, we can’t pass up this bet.
World Test Championship Final 2025 Betting Picks
You’ve seen the South Africa vs Australia odds and heard our predictions: now it’s your turn. Can the Proteas get the ICC monkey off their back? Or will Smith lead Australia to victory? The match gets underway in less than 36 hours, so get your bets in quick.
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