Futures Betting

Futures Betting

Futures (or outright) betting is a special type of market that allows you to wager on the winner of a certain league or tournament winner. For example, it gives you an opportunity to stake on who will lift the English Premier League trophy or claim the Super Bowl before the season even starts.

It is especially tempting if you want to place a bet on underdogs and win big due to high odds or believe there is a clear favorite.

What Is Futures Betting?

You can view futures wager as predicting an outcome that will be resolved in a distant future. But the best way to understand it is with a relatable example.

Let’s say it’s September, and the English Premier League is just about to start. Manchester City has been winning the League for the last four seasons and has a strong squad, which makes you feel that they’ll win it again. So, you simply place a bet on them to finish at the top of the standings. Now, all you have to do is sit back and enjoy 38 weeks of Premier League action, knowing the bet is riding on the outcome. 

It is important to note that futures wagers can also be placed on individual accolades. For example, you can predict who will win the NBA Most Valuable Player award or who will score the most goals at a World Cup.

The beauty of futures is that it’s a long game, and excitement builds with every match that contributes to the outcome of your slip.

How Futures Betting Works

Before the start of a season or a championship, sportsbooks set their futures odds on different events. It could be the winner of the tournament, the leading goal scorer, the MVP, and so on. 

Futures odds are set after carefully considering each team or player’s quality, stats, and past performances. You can decide to place a bet before the start of the season or competition or after it has already begun. However, at some point, as the season draws to a close, the futures wagers may no longer be available. This is because the outcome becomes more predictable, and bookmakers stop offering them to manage risk.

How to Understand Futures Odds

Sportsbooks and other betting services usually release futures odds in a list format. Each event is outlined with various options, such as teams or players, ranked from the most likely outcome to the least likely based on their calculated implied probabilities. The term “implied probability” simply means the likelihood that oddsmakers think an outcome has of happening.

The odds for futures aren’t fixed. As the season or tournament progresses, these odds are adjusted based on the ongoing performance of teams and players, game results, volume of wagers, injuries, etc. However, once you place your bet, the original odds are locked in. This means even if the odds shift dramatically as the season progresses, your potential payout remains the same. 

For example, Manchester City might have the lowest odds to win the EPL at 3.00 at the start of the season. If you place $100 on them, a potential return is $300. If they’re sitting in fifth place in December, the odds might shift to 6.00. On the other hand, if they’re at the top of the table with 10 points ahead of the second-placed team, the odds could drop to something like 1.07. But your wager is unaffected, and you’ll get $300 if they end up winning it all. 

Types of Futures Bets

As previously mentioned, there are several types of futures bets that you can choose from. Let’s check out the most popular ones.

Team Futures Betting

With team futures, you’re predicting the winners of championships and league titles. Additionally, you can put your money on whether a particular team will have more or fewer wins against a set number. Since these wagers depend on the performance and achievements of the entire team, you need to analyze the team as a whole when placing your bet.

Player Futures Betting

With player futures, you’re leaning on the individual performance of a specific player rather than an entire team. These bets often focus on outcomes: the league’s top scorer, winning the MVP award, etc. In this case, you must consider factors like the player’s form, injury history, consistency, role within the team, etc. You also have to consider the team dynamics, as it will also influence the player’s performance.

Futures Parlay Betting

A parlay is a combination of multiple wagers in a single slip. Therefore, futures parlays are simply the combination of multiple futures predictions as one bet. For example, you can have the EPL winner, Super Bowl winner, and NBA Championship winner as one parlay. 

Combining bets like this will yield higher odds compared to a single pick. This automatically means a higher potential payout. However, it also means higher risk because all three bets must be correct to win. 

Futures Betting Markets

Gamblers used to be restricted to predicting the winner of a tournament or league alongside a couple of other options. Now, there’s a wide variety of futures markets to explore. Let’s consider some that bookies usually offer for popular sports. 

American Football

Some common future wagers in American football include:

  • Super Bowl Winner
  • Division and Conference Winners: Teams that will finish first in their respective division and franchises that make it to the Super Bowl from AFC and NFC. 
  • MVP (Most Valuable Player): NFL MVP for the regular season.
  • Rookie of the Year: The top-performing first-year player on defense or offense in the league.
  • Win Totals (Over/Under): Whether a team will win more or fewer games than a set number during the regular season.

Basketball

Popular futures for basketball include:

  • NBA Champion: The team to win the NBA Finals. 
  • Division and Conference Winners: Franchises with the best records in the division and winners of East and West Conferences. 
  • Regular Season Win Totals (Over/Under): Whether the team will have more or fewer wins than during the regular season compared to the prediction. 
  • Regular Season MVP: The winner of the NBA MVP award. 
  • NBA Finals MVP: The MVP of the NBA Finals. 
  • Rookie of the Year: The top-performing first-year player.

Hockey

Popular futures predictions for hockey include: 

  • Stanley Cup Winner: The team to win the Stanley Cup.
  • Division and Conference Winners: Winners of NHL divisions and conferences (Eastern or Western).
  • Regular Season Points Totals: Whether the team will have more or fewer points than a set number during the regular season.
  • Hart Memorial Trophy (MVP): The player who will be named the league’s MVP. 
  • Art Ross Trophy (Most Points Score): The player who will finish with the most points (goals + assists).

Baseball

Common baseball futures bets include:

  • World Series Winner: The franchise to win the MLB World Series.
  • American League (AL) or National League (NL) Winner: Winners of AL or NL Championship.
  • Most Strikeouts (Pitcher): The pitcher with the most strikeouts at the end of the season.
  • Home Run Leader: The player who will hit the most home runs during the season.

Soccer

Some of the best sports futures in soccer include:

  • League Champions: Winners of the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, etc.
  • Tournament Winner: The team to win a cup competition like the UCL, World Cup, Euros, Copa America, FA Cup, and Copa del Rey.
  • Top Scorer (Golden Boot): The leading goalscorer in a league or tournament. 
  • Balond’ or Winner: The winner of the world’s best player award.
  • Relegation: The team to be relegated at the end of the season.

Horse Racing

Popular horse racing futures wagers include:

  • Event Winner: The horse that wins a major race, such as the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes, or Grand National.
  • Jockey Championship: The jockey to win the most races in a season or a specific racing meet.
  • Horse of the Year: Awarded to the horse with the best overall performance of the season.
  • Triple Crown Winner Crown Winner: The horse to win all three Triple Crown races (Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, Belmont Stakes) in a single season.
  • Breeders’ Cup Winner: The horse that wins a specific Breeders’ Cup race (e.g., Breeders’ Cup Classic).

Where Can I Make Futures Bets?

Most top sportsbooks offer the option for futures wagers. bet365, BetMGM, Fanduel, Betfred, BetVictor, Unibet, and DraftKings are a few examples of reliable platforms you can check out. For horse racing futures, you might want to consider some of the best horse racing bookies like QuinnBet, Unibet, Betfred, BetVictor, and William Hill.

Pros & Cons of Futures Bets

Below are the advantages and drawbacks of futures:

PROS CONS
PROS
  • It gets you invested in the tournament or league until the season ends.
  • Once you send in the slip, you don’t need to constantly monitor it like the regular short-term wagers.
  • Not all sportsbooks will offer the same odds for futures, so you can compare and pick the best ones.
  • You can bet on futures during the season or tournament.
  • If you know how futures work, there’s usually a high potential payout, especially if you’re placing your money on the underdog.
CONS
  • Your money is tied up for a long time.
  • Unforeseen events like player injuries can affect the outcome of your bet.
  • Predicting an entire season’s outcome is harder than forecasting regular short-time events.
  • You’re not exposed to sufficient information when you make the predictions.

Hedging Futures Bets

Wagerers usually employ different strategies to limit their risk on futures. The most popular is hedging, which involves betting on the opposite side of your original prediction.

Let’s say you’ve put money on Man City to win the EPL. Towards the end of the season, the Citizens are first but with only 1 point in hand. Liverpool, which is sitting in second place, looks to be in better form and could potentially jump over them. 

To use the hedging strategy in this scenario, you place a bet on Liverpool to lift the trophy as well. If Manchester City wins, your original prediction pays off. If Liverpool wins, your loss is reduced or even leaves you with a little bit of something.

Should I Try Futures Betting?

Futures betting is a viable option for punters who don’t mind waiting for an outcome over an extended period. However, those who prefer quick results should stick to regular short-term stakes. Also, familiarity with the sport you’re gambling on is crucial for these types of predictions. Wagering on a team or a player you know little about in any form is a recipe for disappointment.

Get familiar with the sport you’re interested in and understand how betting works. Also, consider using valuable online resources to boost your knowledge and improve your chances. For instance, you can master betting with BetZillion, a sports betting-focused platform that provides expert tips, compares odds, and offers strategies that can help punters make smarter decisions.

Rebecca E
Author
Writer & Media

Rebecca is a Liverpool gal and a big fan of the club. She likes nothing more than sharing tips and predictions on sports betting. Her other favorite sports include horse racing, snooker, and golf. Rebecca is in charge of writing and media at BetZillion. You can thank her for making our articles look so great.

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