Las Vegas brings the heat once again for International Fight Week, with a loaded card topped by a high-stakes lightweight title bout. Ilia Topuria, undefeated and stepping up in weight, takes on former champion Charles Oliveira in a fight that could reshape the division. With the belt now vacant, and Islam Makachev also moving up, all eyes are on Topuria vs Oliveira odds as fans and bettors look to predict who will emerge as the next lightweight ruler.
Ilia Topuria steps into lightweight territory after a dominant featherweight run, vacating his previous title to chase gold at 155. Standing in his way is Charles Oliveira, the former lightweight champion eager to reclaim his spot at the top.
After losing the belt to Islam Makhachev, Oliveira has been eyeing redemption—and now sees his chance with the title currently unclaimed. Topuria, coming off back-to-back wins over Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway, enters with momentum and a flawless record. With both men seeing this bout as their defining moment, the stakes couldn’t be higher.
| ℹ️ Event: | UFC 317 Main Event, for vacant Lightweight Championship title |
| 🏟️ Venue: | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29 June 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | From 2:00 AM GMT on Sunday |
We have a clear favourite, but if someone can surprise whoever is standing in front of him, it’s Charles Do Bronx Oliveira, and we’re about to see what UFC apps for betting online have to say.
Topuria vs Oliveira betting preview odds lean heavily toward the unbeaten Spaniard, who’s priced at 1.22 (2/9) to win in his lightweight debut. Ilia Topuria’s momentum and striking precision have made him the clear favorite going into Saturday’s title fight. Charles Oliveira, on the other hand, returns to familiar territory as a former champ and sits at 4.50 (7/2) to reclaim gold. Despite the gap in pricing, his finishing rate and veteran experience give this matchup far more edge than the numbers reveal.
Ilia Topuria steps into UFC 317 with an undefeated 16–0 record and serious momentum behind him. In just over two years, he’s taken out Max Holloway, Alexander Volkanovski, and Josh Emmett—two of which by knockout. That run cemented his status as one of the most dangerous finishers on the roster. Born in Germany and raised in Georgia and Spain, Topuria joined the UFC in 2020 and climbed fast. KSW bookmakers have him as the clear favorite, but facing a former champ like Oliveira will reveal if that streak holds up at 155.
The “former” featherweight champion brings a striking approach that’s both deceptive and devastating. He regularly fires off four or five punch combinations—something he says few UFC fighters enjoy throwing—and does so with precision and control. His upright stance masks his intent, allowing him to change levels and angles without telegraphing his shots. While Oliveira holds the edge on the ground, El Matador excels in breaking rhythm and creating chaos on the feet, which could give him a clear path to victory before grappling even comes into play.
Charles “Do Bronxs” Oliveira enters UFC 317 carrying a 35–10–0 record packed with 20 UFC finishes, the most in the organization’s history. His path from the favelas of Guarujá, São Paulo, into global superstardom began in deep poverty, but jiu-jitsu gave him a shot at escape, earning a fourth-degree black belt and powering an elite submission game.
Oliveira’s biggest edge lies on the ground—his record 16 submission wins prove he’s a threat the moment the fight hits the mat. His unpredictability in scrambles and ability to finish from nearly any position make him dangerous even when under pressure. With 20 UFC finishes over names like Justin Gaethje and Dustin Poirier (both via Rear-Naked Choke), he’s proven he can end fights against top-level opponents. He also brings calm, veteran composure and has earned fan admiration for pairing humility with a ruthless, finish-first style that could trouble the less-tested Topuria. If you’re exploring UFC 317 betting tips, Oliveira’s experience and finishing instincts offer real upset potential.
We move on to our Topuria vs Oliveira UFC 317 prediction, so stay tuned to find out which pick makes the most sense to you.
1 (50%)
(50%) 1
Topuria may be known for his striking, but he’s no stranger to wrestling when it suits him. A takedown could help break Oliveira’s rhythm or score points in a close round. Even one well-timed shot could shift momentum, making this a smart, under-the-radar play.
2 (100%)
0
Both fighters are finishers by nature—Topuria with knockout power, Oliveira with elite submissions. Neither tends to let fights drag, and this matchup is unlikely to go the distance. A fast pace and aggressive style make an early ending the most probable outcome, which supports sharp UFC 317 Topuria vs Oliveira predictions.
2 (100%)
0
Oliveira holds the UFC record for submission wins, and his BJJ remains a threat even against top-tier strikers. If this hits the mat, few can match his creativity or control. While bookmakers for PFL may price grapplers differently, Oliveira’s finishing ability here stands out as a strong, high-reward option.
Ilia Topuria vs Charles Oliveira tips come down to one question—can the unbeaten champ handle the most dangerous finisher in UFC history? With high-risk, high-reward angles on both sides, the right bet depends on timing, value, and how much you trust proven chaos over rising dominance.
