Fatal Fury or Easy Walk? Saul Alvarez vs William Scull Fight Picks & Betting Predictions (Super Middleweight, May 3)

We are about to see another blockbuster boxing event in Saudi Arabia this weekend, with the fate of the WBA, WBC, WBO, and IBF super-middleweight titles at stake. Read on for our Saul Alvarez vs William Scull prediction and analysis.
Alvarez vs Scull: Event Details and Preview
Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez will battle William Scull this weekend, chasing a second reign as undisputed super-middleweight champion. The duo will fight at the ANB Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Saturday night.
Alvarez’s first fight in Saudi Arabia carries high stakes, as a win is required to keep his planned September bout with Terence Crawford alive — a heavily orchestrated super-fight that’s part of his four-fight Saudi deal.
Fighting Scull in a unification clash is the first assignment in the Mexican’s four-fight contract, with Scull holding the IBF title and Alvarez the WBC, WBO, and WBA belts. Future opponents are yet to be confirmed at this point.
🥊 Weight Class/Division: | Undisputed Super Middleweight (12 rounds) |
🏟️ Venue: | ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia |
🗓️ Date: | 3 May 2025 |
⏰ Time: | 5 PM ET on Saturday |
Latest Canelo vs Scull Odds
Boxing sites for mobile betting and other top sportsbooks have crunched the numbers and published the latest Alvarez vs Scull odds. Here are the odds for the fight’s outcome at this moment:
Alvarez is the overwhelming favorite to win this fight. The 34-year-old has dominated the highest tier of professional boxing and knows what it takes to win a fight of this caliber. Anything other than backing Canelo, therefore, ventures into risky Alvarez vs Scull betting tips territory.
Scull is yet to taste defeat in his professional boxing journey, but he still has a lot to prove at the biggest stage of boxing. So, Saul Alvarez vs William Scull betting odds are largely stacked against him.
Saul Alvarez’s Recent Boxing Form
Alvarez began assembling his current super-middleweight haul in 2020, defeating Caleb Plant, Callum Smith, and Billy Joe Saunders. Since then, he has defended those titles against a slew of opponents, including Avni Yildirim, Edgar Berlanga, Jermell Charlo, Gennady Golovkin, Jaime Munguia, and John Ryder.
Alvarez has recorded 39 knockouts with a record of 62 wins, 2 defeats, and 2 draws. His latest loss occurred at the hands of Dmitry Bivol, who won by unanimous decision in May 2022 under Alvarez’s light-heavyweight title attempt. Alvarez’s only other defeat came in September 2013, when Floyd Mayweather narrowly won by majority decision. He will be fighting for the first time on Saturday after beating Berlanga in September 2024 in Nevada.
Canelo’s Advantages Over Scull
Understanding fighter advantages over each other is a necessity to make sense of the Saul Alvarez vs William Scull betting tips. Alvarez has the upper hand in experience and also has superior boxing IQ. He will look to lure in the Cuban and destroy with ferocious counter-punching. Canelo will also look to work the body to take down Scull’s resistance.
William Scull’s Recent Boxing Form
KSW sportsbooks are skeptical of Scull’s chances in this fight, but he enters the fray with an impressive boxing resume. He currently has a perfect 23-0 record, and the highlight of his career so far was his last victory. Scull defeated Vladimir Shishkin to capture the vacant IBF title, and will be hoping to build on that confidence to become the undisputed champion.
Scull’s Advantages Over Alvarez
Alvarez doesn’t like fighting against mobile fighters, and Scull can capitalize on this. The Cuban can’t match his opposition in power, but he can try to make up for that with his agility. If he can make good use of his feet and take the fight to the later stages, Scull could take advantage of a tired Alvarez and beat him with a late onslaught.
Best Canelo vs Scull Predictions
The buzz around this upcoming clash has the bookmakers excited, with plenty of attractive odds and offers to choose from. We have gone through the best sportsbooks and finalized these Alvarez vs Scull fight picks:
The Fight to Go to Distance @ 2.60 (8/5)
2 (100%)
0
Alvarez has a 62.9% knockout record, so the odds are short for this fight to end early. While we’re backing Canelo to win, we think Scull will put up a stronger challenge than most people expect. All of the Cuban’s last five fights have gone the distance, and we don’t see enough reason to believe this would be an exception.
Scull has a solid chin, so he can survive Alvarez’s hammering shots. He has a reach and height advantage in this fight, so he will be looking to maintain a safe distance from Alvarez and look for openings. The Mexican should be able to close the gap eventually, but we believe Scull will be able to take the fight till the final bell.
Saul Alvarez to Win by Decision or Technical Decision @ 2.40 (7/5)
2 (100%)
0
Alvarez enters the bout as the more seasoned and heavier-handed fighter. Scull may possess a well-rounded skill set, but it’s unlikely to be enough to carry him through the full fight unscathed. His agility should save him from a knockout defeat, but Scull is likely to be overwhelmed by Alvarez’s aggression. In the end, the judges should have an easy decision to make.
Over 1.5 Knockdowns @ 2.40 (7/5)
1 (50%)
(50%) 1
Scull has shown remarkable endurance in his previous fights, but he has never met a powerhouse like Alvarez before. It’s likely that he would have to hit the canvas multiple times before the fight ends. He should be able to hang on till the end, but Scull might be up for a tough outing.
Recommended Saul Alvarez vs William Scull Betting Tips
Alvarez might have to work harder than he thought to bag a win in this one. So, we are backing the fight to go the distance and a Canelo win via decision.
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