Legacy at Stake? Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev Fight Picks & Betting Predictions (Junior Featherweight, September 14)

The boxing world is ready for another exciting fight in Las Vegas as Naoya ‘The Monster’ takes on Murodjon Akhmadaliev in the Junior Featherweight. Inoue’s WBC, WBO, and WBA belts and Akhmadaliev’s IBF title are up for grabs. There’s been a lot of talk this week, and this fight could decide the true champion of the 122-pound division. Let’s take a look at the buildup to this fight, alongside Inoue vs Akhmadaliev betting tips.
Inoue vs Akhmadaliev: Event Details And Preview
Naoya Inoue will fight Murodjon Akhmadaliev on September 14, 2025, in a big Junior Featherweight unification match. The fight will take place at the Aichi International Arena in Nagoya, Japan. Inoue is unbeaten since his first major title, and this is the biggest fight on the night.
Inoue is one of the best boxers in the world, and he’s aiming to keep his spot as the top fighter in this division. Four major belts are at stake. Akhmadaliev used to hold two titles, but he will be putting his IBF belt on the line, and can become the champion again if he beats Inoue.
🥊 Weight Class/Division: | Undisputed Junior Featherweight Championship (12 rounds) |
🏟️ Venue: | Aichi International Arena, Nagoya, Japan |
🗓️ Date: | 14 September 2025 |
⏰ Time: | 9 PM ET on Saturday |
Latest Inoue vs Akhmadaliev Odds
The Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev betting odds are now available on the best bookmakers for boxing. Let’s take a look at their chances to win:
Inoue is the heavy favorite on the books, and it’s not surprising with his devastating knockout power and almost-perfect record. Akhmadaliev, however, is no stranger to high-stakes fights like this one, and he has huge odds to cause an upset this weekend.
Naoya Inoue’s Recent Boxing Form
Naoya Inoue has won many fights across multiple weight classes, and he has a record of 30-0 with 27 knockout wins. He moved to the Featherweight category in 2023, beating opponents like Stephen Fulton and Marlon Tapales, and winning the WBC and WBO titles. His most recent fight was in Las Vegas, where he beat Ramon Cardenas to retain the WBA, WBC, and WBO titles. The Japanese boxer has been quite dominant, and his only scare came against Nery, where he was briefly knocked down but recovered to win in Tokyo.
Inoue’s Advantages Over Akhmadaliev
Inoue is much faster than Akhmadaliev, and this is a big plus for him on a fight night like this. He also has better punching power and knocks out almost 90% of his opponents. His punches to the body and head are hard to stop. Inoue has good movement, and against Akhmadaliev, his speed and punch power will be key.
Murodjon Akhmadaliev’s Recent Boxing Form
Murodjon Akhmadaliev lost the WBA (Super) and IBF Super-bantamweight titles to Marlon Tapales in 2023, but he’s been back to running ways with two wins in two fights after that defeat. The 30-year-old is 15-1 in his boxing career, and 79% of his wins were by knockouts. “MJ” last fight was against Luis Castillo in Mexico a few months ago, and he knocked out the Mexican in the eighth round. The 2016 Olympic bronze medalist is less experienced and a heavy underdog on Inoue vs Akhmadaliev odds.
Akhmadaliev’s Advantages Over Naoya
Akhmadaliev fights as a southpaw, which might be confusing for Inoue, who doesn’t face many left-handed boxers. His counter-punches are also great, and he has a slight reach and height advantage over his opponent. Akhmadaliev has better stamina and can push this fight a long way.
Best Inoue vs Akhmadaliev Predictions
The winner odds are heavily tilted in the Monster’s favour, but there are some interesting picks in this featherweight championship. Below are our Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev predictions:
The Fight to Go to Distance @ 3.50 (5/2)
1 (100%)
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Inoue Naoya knocks out most opponents, but Akhmadaliev isn’t going to be easy as the odds suggest, and we’ll see a tough finish to this bout. Four of Akhmadaliev’s last five fights went all 12 rounds, showing he can handle long fights, even against experienced opponents. His stamina and smart defense could keep him safe from Inoue’s heavy punches. Inoue’s speed and power will make it hard for Akhmadaliev to win rounds, but his experience as a former champion and Olympic medalist means he won’t go down easily. Backing this fight to go the distance has good value on our Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev tips.
Naoya Inoue to Win by Decision or Technical Decision @ 3.00 (2/1)
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(100%) 1
Inoue is a big favorite here and has a good run of form with knockout wins, but Akhmadaliev’s toughness and southpaw style mean we have a good chance of avoiding a knockout win. The Japanese boxer has won by decision against much better fighters like Nonito Donaire, proving he can still hold his ground in a competitive bout. MJ is good at counter-punches, and he has what it takes to frustrate Inoue’s usual knockout approach. Inoue will likely land more punches and control the fight with his speed, and this should be enough to rack up points on the judges’ scorecards. Akhmadaliev’s defense and stamina will help him survive, but not enough to win. This option goes against the underdog and is one of the valuable Inoue vs Akhmadaliev fight picks.
Over 0.5 Knockdowns @ 1.80 (4/5)
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Nicknamed the Monster, Inoue Naoya’s heavy punches makes a knockdown very likely in this matchup, and it’s one interesting option for punters. He has floored tough opponents like Luis Nery and Marlon Tapales, even in competitive fights. Defending against Inoue is very tough due to his body shots and sharp head punches, and someone stepping up like Akhmadaliev would struggle at some point. Akhmadaliev has faced less powerful fighters than Inoue, and we should see at least one knockdown in this Junior Featherweight match.
Recommended Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev Betting Tips
Ahead of the big fight in Las Vegas, our opinions on this fight are ready, with offers available on boxing betting sites. Here’s our recommended betting tips on Inoue vs Akhmadaliev:
There’s a lot of excitement for Akhmadaliev, who finally gets his chance to face the legendary Naoya, and we have some exciting offers for the fight in Japan. You can make extra cash from this bout by using our expert betting tips and predictions.
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