Chasing the Improvement: 2025 Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix Betting Predictions & Winner Odds (August 7)

Round 16 of the ongoing F1 season takes us to Monza for the Italian Grand Prix after an action-packed weekend in Zandvoort. Oscar Piastri claimed his 7th victory last Sunday, while rookie Isack Hadjar grabbed his first career podium. Will there be more surprises in Italy? Our F1 Italian Grand Prix predictions guide previews the action.
Key Info About The Formula One 2025 Monza GP
The Italian Grand Prix closes Formula 1’s European schedule, with Ferrari under immense home pressure after a Dutch Grand Prix double DNF. Practice begins Friday, September 5, followed by qualifying on September 6th. The main race unfolds on Sunday, September 7th.
ℹ️ Tournament: | 2025 Formula One World Championships, F1 Italian Grand Prix 2025 |
🛣 Venue: | Autodromo Nazionale Monza, Monza, Italy |
🗓️ Dates: | Friday 5th – 6th September (Practice & Qualifying) – Sunday, 7th September (Main Race) |
⏰ Time: | 13:00 GMT on Sunday |
Autodromo Nazionale Monza Circuit Analysis
Monza, famously called the “Temple of Speed,” is Formula 1’s fastest circuit, located in Italy’s scenic Royal Park near Milan. Drivers reach full throttle for three-quarters of the 5.37km lap, with cars set to minimal downforce for maximum speed. Iconic corners like Curva Grande and Variante Ascari define the “Magic Track,” where drivers exceed 340km/h before breaking into tight chicanes. Precision through apexes is essential, as every exit determines momentum and competitive advantage.
Formula 1 Italian Grand Prix’s Previous Winners
Charles Leclerc is the reigning champion in the Italian GP, while Verstappen has won two of the past five editions.
- 2024: Charles Leclerc
- 2023: Max Verstappen
- 2022: Max Verstappen
- 2021: Daniel Ricciardo
- 2020: Pierre Gasly
Formula 1 Italian GP 2025 Odds & Favorites
Our Formula 1 Italian GP predictions 2025 begin by reviewing outright winner odds. Here is how the Formula 1 sites for betting see the top-5 favorites of the upcoming battle:
Oscar Piastri @ 2.00 (1/1)
Oscar Piastri retains the best Formula 1 Italian GP 2025 odds on all auto racing sportsbooks to win in Monza after his dominant performance last weekend. He converted pole to victory and claimed the fastest lap at the Dutch Grand Prix. This has put him 34 points ahead of Norris, who retired earlier in the race. That triumph marked his 7th win this season and demonstrates Piastri’s title credentials. We expect the Australian to target another victory in Italy to solidify his position at the top.
Lando Norris @ 2.87 (13/7)
After a strong run of form before the break, Lando Norris suffered a DNF in the Netherlands last weekend. It was his second DNF of the season, after Canada. Before that, three victories in four races had helped him close the gap on championship leader Oscar Piastri. Despite the setback, Norris remains Piastri’s closest challenger and needs a clean drive in Italy to fight for the podium’s top step.
Max Verstappen @ 7.50 (13/2)
Max Verstappen has not been at his dominant best but has shown progress since the break. Starting third behind a McLaren front row in the Netherlands, he finished second after Lando Norris retired with a power unit failure. It marked Verstappen’s first podium since June and his fifth straight at Zandvoort. With past success at Monza, including two wins in the last three editions, he looks ready to challenge for victory again.
Charles Leclerc @ 13.00 (12/1)
Charles Leclerc sits fifth in the Drivers’ Championship with 151 points despite not winning in 2025. His five podiums, including second at Monaco, show his consistency even in a season where Ferrari has been playing catch-up to McLaren. A collision with Mercedes’ Kimi Antonelli ended his Dutch GP. Racing at Ferrari’s home in Monza, where he won in 2019 and 2024, should give Leclerc added motivation to target his first victory of the season.
George Russell @ 13.00 (12/1)
George Russell is rated with equal 2025 Monza GP F1 betting odds on many Italian betting sites. He sits fourth in the Drivers’ Championship, ahead of both Ferrari drivers and teammate Kimi Antonelli. With six podiums, including Mercedes’ lone win in Canada, he has been remarkably consistent. Russell boasts no DNFs and 14 top-ten finishes from 15 races. This makes him a dependable contender to challenge for victory at Monza.
F1 Italian GP Predictions 2025
Here are our 2025 Formula 1 Monza GP betting tips:
Lando Norris To Win @ 2.87 (13/7)
1 (100%)
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Lando Norris has collected five wins and 12 podiums from 15 races, underlining his consistency as a title contender. At the Dutch Grand Prix, he was set for second before a late mechanical failure forced retirement. Norris has proved his resilience previously after a DNF in Canada. He responded with three wins in four races. That mental strength makes him a strong candidate to rebound with victory in Monza.
Podium Finish: Charles Leclerc @ 2.37 (4/3)
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(100%) 1
Ferrari’s unmatched history at Monza, with 21 victories, offers Charles Leclerc added confidence heading into the Italian Grand Prix. He has won here twice, in 2019 and 2024, demonstrating his strong connection with the circuit. With five podiums this season, including Monaco and Belgium, Leclerc consistently challenges near the front. His experience and form suggest another podium finish is within reach for Ferrari’s home race.
Bonus Tip
Our Formula 1 Italian GP 2025 Betting Tips
Our 2025 Formula 1 Italian betting picks are:
Norris has previously proved he can bounce back from DNF this season and needs a statement victory in Monza to stay in title contention. Leverage our tips to bet on the F1 Monza Grand Prix 2025 and win extra cash.
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